On Wednesday Inverse reported that Ladbrokes has estimated that the chances of President-elect Donald Trump being removed and impeached before the end of his term is at 50%. On Wednesday afternoon they gave a somewhat worse odds at 11:10 for Trump to leave office due to resignation or impeachment before the end of the first term. The operator gives slightly better odds 8:11 for Trump to fail to finish his term for any reason, and even higher 1:2 for him to be re-elected in 2020. You can check our Ladbrokes review here.
Although, Ladbrokes is bullish to ongoing controversies as to whether Donald Trump helped the Russian government launch cyber-attacks on specific targets from the Democratic Party during the presidential campaign. Not to mention BuzzFeed’s leak of a still unverified report that claims that the Russian intelligence possesses a video of Trump with some prostitutes and golden showers.
There is a good reason to suspect that Trump will continue the historical rarity of impeachments. Just a reminder that only Bill Clinton (1998) and Andrew Johnson (1868). Some of the reasons are that Trump is accused of several potentially unconstitutional and even criminal promises such as bombing the families of terrorists as well as violating the citizens’ civil rights.
The president-elect also has a disturbing mix of conflicts of interest as well as a disregard for ethics, to the extent to which his potential impeachment and conviction, treason, or other high crimes as outlined in the United States Constitution may not depend as much on whether he qualifies removal and more on how much rope a Republican-controlled Congress will give him.